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Showing posts with label Julio Jones. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Julio Jones. Show all posts

Saturday, September 29, 2012

Fantasy Football NFL Week 4: Players to Adore/ Players to Avoid


New York Giants at Philadelphia
New Eagles Offensive Line Shows Umeniyora Up?
Two bitter NFC East rivals square off Sunday night in what could be dubbed the “Ballerina Bowl” due to LeSean McCoy and Osi Umeniyora’s consistent jawing over the social media airwaves.  These two teams are talented and familiar with each other; meaning this will not likely be a low-scoring game.  The Eagles were drubbed by the Cardinals last week 24-6, with ball security a major issue, stemming from their inability to protect quarterback Michael Vick.  It is hard to see how the Giants defensive line does not offer a clear threat to Vick even finishing the game.  The Giants are coming an extra three days of rest and the Eagles are still banged up at receiver. Luckily Giants corner Corey Webster and safety Antrel Rolle are both banged up as well.  DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin present a good fantasy plays as WR2’s in this game.  Celek could exploit some mismatches with Giants linebackers. The Eagles will still need to run Shady McCoy to keep the Giants from pinning their ears back.
On the Giants side, they are in midseason form on offense-- they put up 36 at Carolina with backups at WR1 and RB1; now Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks are back.  I would be wary of starting any Giants running back in this one but Victor Cruz is getting his salsa steps ready; he’s a must-start in any format.  Martellus Bennett has shown flashes of being a TE1, so if he’s available off the wire do yourself a favor and snag him.

Adore: Eli Manning, Victor Cruz, Jeremy Maclin, LeSean McCoy
Meh:  Ahmad Bradshaw, Michael Vick, DeSean Jackson, Andre Brown; Hakeem Nicks, Brent Celek, Martellus Bennett; Giants D
Avoid: Eagles D

New Orleans at Green Bay
Laid A Heck of a Foundation
Two pissed-off teams, that are fading from the ranks of NFC contenders square off at Lambeau Field on Sunday.  The Packers couldn’t hold off the Seahawks pass rush and Drew Brees couldn’t complete a pass in the final quarter as both teams fell last week to Seattle and Kansas City, respectively.  The Saints are allowing a laughable 215 yards rushing a game which negates the good things they’ve done on offense.  Last week they got shredded by Jamaal Charles and Cedric Benson comes into town.  Granted, the Saints have played three teams that have dynamic rushing attacks in the Redskins, Panthers and Chiefs.  By comparison, the Packers don’t put that type of emphasis on running which will probably benefit New Orleans.  For your fantasy team this has the look of a shootout even though the Packers have allowed only 125 yards through the air.  Drew Brees will probably come close to tripling that average; look for the Saints go with plenty of passes to Jimmy Graham and Darren Sproles and look to get Pierre Thomas (19 carries for 138 yards) and Mark Ingram  (27 carries for 79 yards) going in the running game.   Lance Moore may be the most productive wideout for the Saints, who have an atypical passing food chain. Devery Henderson typically catches a long pass in these types of contests, but they miss Robert freakin’ Meachem.  He was an efficient blend of Colston and Henderson whose production their other young receivers haven’t been able to reproduce.
The Packers are out-of-sync on offense and fantasy owners everywhere will want a signature Green Bay game with 400 yards from Rodgers and Nelson and Greg Jennings, and even Finley redeeming themselves fantasy-wise.  This version of the Saints defense offers the opportunity.  They’ll be plenty of Green Bay yards in this one.  The Packers have got to get Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson going—it’s been a lot of dink and dunk.  If Jennings doesn’t turn it up in this game, then I’m starting to regard him as more of a WR2, with his most productive days behind him. Cedric Benson is a decent fantasy play as a RB2, the Saints can’t contain anyone on the ground at this point.  I mean he’s not going to be Ahman Green in his prime, but if he’s a RB2, you can probably squeeze ten points out of him in this matchup—he’s been decent catching the ball.

Adore: Drew Brees, Jimmy Graham, Cedric Benson, Aaron Rodgers, Darren Sproles
Meh: Jordy Nelson, Jermichael Finley, Marques Colston, Greg Jennings, Pierre Thomas, Lance Moore
Avoid: Packers D, Randall Cobb, Mark Ingram, Saints D (of course)

Carolina at Atlanta
Can't Keep Up With the Joneses
Cam Newton is defending himself against critics questioning his mental toughness this week.  He’s rumored to be undergoing therapy.  Hey, it’s not tricking if you got it.  He’ll need all the help he can get leading up to this Sunday’s matchup against the undefeated Atlanta Falcons.  The Falcons offense has been impressive through Week 3, with fantasy QB1 leader Matt Ryan leading the attack.  However, Carolina and Atlanta both give up well over 100 yards a game rushing, so expect RB2-type fantasy contributions from Michael Turner and Jonathan Stewart (if healthy).  Turner could really benefit from the Panthers rushing defense to rejuvenate his season--in the last four games against Carolina he’s rushed for 394 yards and six touchdowns.  Jacquizz Rodgers may eat into Turner's touches and I suspect Julio Jones will remind us all he’s very much a WR1-fantasy-must-start in this game.  In 2012 venerable Tony Gonzalez has caught more passes than any other Falcon, or tight end in the NFL for that matter, so start him at TE without hesitation.  Roddy White at home is always a good play.  Monitor J-Stew’s health,  and if he can't go, then jump all over DeAngelo Williams as a RB2.
Forget Therapy Cam, This Is What the Doctor Ordered
Cam Newton threw three picks with zero scores his last time at the Georgia Dome and doesn’t appear to mentally be in sync at this point of the season.  However, I would start Newton in this game and give him another opportunity to redeem himself.  It’s a homecoming for Newton, a divisional game, he’s had vocal haters even in Charlotte, and veteran WR Steve Smith was able hopefully to get the quarterback’s mind right during the Giants debacle.  It’s not like he is missing passes—his 63.7% completion rate so far is higher than 2011.  The Panthers tend to start slow, historically. If Newton can pull things together in this game passing, than some fantasy contributions from Brandon LaFell and conversely, Jacquizz Rodgers, would not be outrageous.  Turner is definitely a RB2 now anyway and LaFell is a decent WR3/Flex play.   Newton is almost guaranteed to get you 5-8 points just by running the ball in this game.

Adore: Julio Jones, Roddy White, Matt Ryan, Steve Smith, Cam Newton
Meh: Tony Gonzalez, Michael Turner, Brandon LaFell, Greg Olsen, Jonathan Stewart, Jacquizz Rodgers,DeAngelo Williams
Avoid: Mike Tolbert, 

Washington at Tampa Bay
Tampa Will Need to Cover Some Skin(s) For a Change
This is an under-the-radar game with shootout potential mainly because of the two statistically, most generous secondaries in the NFL.  Although the Buccaneers are dead last in offense in the NFL (258 yards per contest) they’ll be going up against a suspect Washington Redskins defense that the Cincinnati Bengals torched last week.  No one has noticed the Bucs ranked 1st in the league in rushing defense, which is pretty significant considering they were operating such a bush-league run defense last year.   They have shut down the Panthers, Giants, and Cowboys so they’ll be able to contain Alfred Morris; but they’ll have their hands full with Robert Griffin III, however, who has rushed for over 200 yards by himself so far.  Robert Griffin III, because of his dual-threat ability, is a QB1 in this game.  Fred Davis caught 7 for 90 against Cincinnati and is starting to heat up. He’s still a shade under a must-start, but encouraging that his and RG3’s chemistry is building.  The Redskins wideouts, a fast bunch, are tricky fantasy-wise behind Garcon.
On the Bucs side, Freeman and Martin are “meh” but I like Vincent Jackson to carve up the Washington secondary and the Redskins to counter with some deep bombs of their own.  The Bucs have to get their running game on track to set up the aforementioned bombs.  The Redskins best fantasy play will probably be Robert Griffin III. Pierre Garcon coming back (foot) is still questionable which gives him a “Meh” rating. If he plays, be aware he torched the Bucs in Ray Jay last year as a Colt. There may also be a LeGarrette Blount sighting but I wouldn’t play him in any format just yet.  Stay tuned, word is coach Greg Schiano wants more a 1-2 punch at running back (3.6 yards a carry from Martin will do that for ya).

Adore: Vincent Jackson, Robert Griffin
Meh: Josh Freeman, Fred Davis, Buccaneers D/ST, Pierre Garcon, Santana Moss, Doug Martin
Avoid:  Alfred Morris, Redskins D/ST

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

NFL Week 2 Fantasy News: What the @#$! Just Happened?


Unbelievable was the word for the NFL Week 2.  Let’s recap from a fantasy perspective.  TheStandardOne  likes to keep it positive, but I would be remiss if we didn’t recap some of the things we all thought we’re going to happen and didn’t.  Then we’ll get into the gold mines for Week 3.
Big Disappointments We Kinda Expected
Chris Johnson, RB, Titans: Unfortunately, CJ0K is doing a rendition of last year’s pathetic start so far in 2012.  Against a decent San Diego rushing defense, Johnson rushed for 17 yards on eight carries and caught 2 passes.  That simply won’t cut it.  Traditional fantasy owners are losing patience with Chris Johnson, although the Titans run blocking has been mostly to blame.  Weekly owners and daily fantasy gamers should take a show-and-prove approach with him against the Detroit Lions in Week 3.
Matt Forte, RB, Bears: Matt Forte’s track record against the Packers was less than stellar, but the resurgent Packers run defense injured the Bears running back in the game.  He had a decent line to that point (7 carries for 31 yards, 4 catches for 49 yards) so he’s now unsure for Week 3 with a suspected high ankle sprain.  Forte’s injury not withstanding, even more disconcerting is Michael Bush’s expanding role.  Look for other options for Week 3 when the Bears play the St. Louis Rams.  Bush may be a decent RB2 or Flex if Forte can’t go.
Disappointments from Guys We Didn’t Expect:
Dezappearing Act?
Dez Bryant, WR, Cowboys: Where did Dez go? Starting to become a pattern with second-half disappearances.  Not ready to completely abandon him and has a matchup against the Bucs in Week 3. The Bucs secondary is still giving up yards to Eli as we speak.  
Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs: I like Jamaal Charles--just knew he would run roughshod over the Bills...His performance Sunday was not at all what we had in mind! 6 carries for 3 yards and similar knee issues from last year-ugh.  Next up a visit to the Big Easy, whose Saints are more generous to opposing runners- he’s a shade below an RB 1 if healthy.  Be cautious utilizing him as a RB2--Hillis got 11 carries and this Shaun Draughn fellow isn’t going anywhere.  The Chiefs need to be more competitive to make Charles valuable.
Julio Jones, WR, Falcons; This 4 catch- 14 yard effort may have been the most damaging to a lot of fantasy Monday night owners with the week's victory hanging in the balance.  He dropped a touchdown in the first half and then turned into fantasy vapor. Two words: Champ Bailey.  The talented wide receiver won’t have a repeat game like that all season—next up the Chargers in San Diego.  Roddy White will still be a primary target for Matt Ryan.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, Giants: Bradshaw was supposed to run free against the Bucs in this game but injured his foot early.  He’s not doing anything to shake the injury-prone label and fantasy owners must be ready for the wait-and-see approach with him all season long.
A Look Ahead:
Demaryius Thomas, WR, Broncos: He represents a must-start option at wide receiver, in case anyone was wondering.  The Broncos will face the undefeated Houston Texans, who haven’t played anyone (wins vs. Miami and Jacksonville) but could find themselves trailing in Houston.  Thomas is a beast after the catch, utilizing screens from Peyton Manning.  Deploy and collect the checks with Demaryius, who needs a catchy nickname.
Far From Bush League
Reggie Bush, RB, Dolphins: All that offseason talk about Reggie Bush receiving a lesser workload was just talk, especially after his 172 yards rushing and two touchdowns against the Oakland Raiders.  If last year's 1,000 yard-season didn't dispel misconceptions about his viability and durability as a legitimate NFL starting-caliber running back, then Week 2 did.  Reggie Bush is a must-start even against the Jets, who struggled with a similar type runner in C.J. Spiller in Week 1.  Bigger-name running backs are falling to injury and struggling in other aspects, so  fantasy teams that go with Bush are getting a precious commodity right now in the NFL: A breakaway RB threat with no injury/performance issues.  He’s an ideal RB2.
Alex Smith, QB, 49ers: Alex Smith is turning into a low-end QB1 right before our eyes.  He has been a steady fantasy contributor so far because he has lots of weapons and doesn’t turn the ball over.  He won’t turn in many 300-yard efforts but many of these 300 yards efforts from higher ranked quarterbacks don’t score the same points because of the aforementioned turnovers.  Ride the wave while you can. Up next: A trip to the Metrodome against the Vikings secondary, who made Blaine Gabbert look good in Week 1 and were handled by rookie Andrew Luck in Week 2.
Trends and Other Notes
(And for fantasy owners that have a revolving door at fantasy DEF)…
The Titans can’t run the ball right now (or do anything else on offense for that matter).
The Buccaneers can’t stop the pass right now.
The Cardinals defense is making noise.
The Seahawks will continue to be a better, different team at home.
The Jaguars will struggle on offense.
The Browns may not be complete garbage on offense.